{"id":5075,"date":"2020-04-09T11:21:54","date_gmt":"2020-04-09T14:21:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.unlz.edu.ar\/?p=5075"},"modified":"2020-04-11T12:36:44","modified_gmt":"2020-04-11T15:36:44","slug":"jorge-aliaga-explica-con-datos-la-curva-de-contagio","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.unlz.edu.ar\/?p=5075","title":{"rendered":"Jorge Aliaga explica con datos la curva de contagio"},"content":{"rendered":"

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_row_inner][vc_column_inner][la_heading title=\u00bbJorge Aliaga explica con datos la curva de contagio\u00bb title_fz=\u00bbxlg:60px;lg:50px;mb:25px;\u00bb][\/la_heading][la_divider height=\u00bblg:30px;\u00bb][\/vc_column_inner][\/vc_row_inner][la_carousel infinite_loop=\u00bbyes\u00bb autoplay=\u00bbyes\u00bb dots=\u00bbyes\u00bb draggable=\u00bbyes\u00bb touch_move=\u00bbyes\u00bb item_space=\u00bb0″ slides_column=\u00bbxlg:1;lg:1;md:1;sm:1;xs:1;mb:1;\u00bb el_class=\u00bbslick-dots-small\u00bb][vc_single_image image=\u00bb5076″ img_size=\u00bbmedium\u00bb alignment=\u00bbcenter\u00bb][\/la_carousel][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row el_class=\u00bbcolumna-blog\u00bb][vc_column offset=\u00bbvc_col-xs-12″][vc_column_text el_class=\u00bbtexto-justificado\u00bb]<\/p>\n

Su especialidad es el an\u00e1lisis de datos. Con gr\u00e1ficos y cuadros, demuestra que los casos en Argentina tienen un avance significativamente menor al de otros pa\u00edses.<\/h5>\n
\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Jorge Aliaga es f\u00edsico, exdecano de la Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales de la UBA y ahora secretario de Planeamiento de la Universidad Nacional de Hurlingham. Dora Barrancos, con bastante argumento, lo bautiz\u00f3 como \u201cel sabueso de los n\u00fameros\u201d. Desde hace dos semanas comenz\u00f3 a recopilar los datos sobre la circulaci\u00f3n del coronavirus para el armado de su especialidad: gr\u00e1ficos y tablas que ayudan a comprender qu\u00e9 ocurre con la curva de contagios en Argentina y el mundo.<\/p>\n

–Los gr\u00e1ficos funcionan bien por su poder divulgativo. Concentran mucha informaci\u00f3n. Sin embargo, no todos saben leerlos.<\/b><\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

–No soy epidemi\u00f3logo ni vir\u00f3logo pero conozco muy bien c\u00f3mo analizar datos. Durante m\u00e1s de 30 a\u00f1os di clases de esto, entonces trato de explicar de modo que la gente entienda. Adem\u00e1s de los gr\u00e1ficos incluyo tablas para que puedan referenciarse; es el t\u00edpico caso de aquellos contenidos que nos explican en la secundaria y en los primeros a\u00f1os de la universidad y no sabemos muy bien para qu\u00e9. Bueno, como es posible advertir, s\u00ed son \u00fatiles para la vida, solo que no sabemos cu\u00e1ndo. Lo complejo de este virus es que los n\u00fameros que vemos hoy, corresponden a lo que suced\u00eda unos 15 d\u00edas atr\u00e1s.<\/p>\n

–\u00bfPor qu\u00e9?<\/b><\/p>\n

–Es una estimaci\u00f3n que hice hace alg\u00fan tiempo y los datos ratifican este supuesto. Es el lapso que tarda el fen\u00f3meno en manifestarse: desde que tenemos los s\u00edntomas, llamamos a un m\u00e9dico, nos realizan el test, nos llegan los resultados del test y nos aislamos totalmente. El 25 de marzo detect\u00e9 un quiebre en la progresi\u00f3n de la curva. Ya hab\u00edan transcurrido dos semanas desde que se hab\u00edan comenzado a suspender las primeras actividades: se interrumpieron los eventos masivos y comenzaron los primeros cuidados con personas que proven\u00edan de pa\u00edses calientes. Hasta esa fecha, la curva crec\u00eda a una tasa que multiplicaba por 10 los casos cada 10 d\u00edas<\/p>\n

Ver nota completa<\/a><\/p>\n

Fuente: P\u00e1gina 12
\n<\/em>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][la_divider height=\u00bblg:90px;mb:40px;\u00bb][\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_row_inner][vc_column_inner][la_heading title=\u00bbJorge Aliaga explica con datos la curva de contagio\u00bb title_fz=\u00bbxlg:60px;lg:50px;mb:25px;\u00bb][\/la_heading][la_divider height=\u00bblg:30px;\u00bb][\/vc_column_inner][\/vc_row_inner][la_carousel infinite_loop=\u00bbyes\u00bb autoplay=\u00bbyes\u00bb dots=\u00bbyes\u00bb draggable=\u00bbyes\u00bb touch_move=\u00bbyes\u00bb item_space=\u00bb0″ slides_column=\u00bbxlg:1;lg:1;md:1;sm:1;xs:1;mb:1;\u00bb el_class=\u00bbslick-dots-small\u00bb][vc_single_image image=\u00bb5076″ img_size=\u00bbmedium\u00bb alignment=\u00bbcenter\u00bb][\/la_carousel][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row el_class=\u00bbcolumna-blog\u00bb][vc_column offset=\u00bbvc_col-xs-12″][vc_column_text el_class=\u00bbtexto-justificado\u00bb] Su especialidad es el an\u00e1lisis de datos. Con gr\u00e1ficos y cuadros, demuestra que los casos en Argentina tienen un avance significativamente menor al de otros pa\u00edses.   Jorge Aliaga es f\u00edsico, exdecano de la…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5076,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[110],"tags":[105],"class_list":["post-5075","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coronavirus","tag-unlz"],"yoast_head":"\nJorge Aliaga explica con datos la curva de contagio<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Su especialidad es el an\u00e1lisis de datos. 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