{"id":5747,"date":"2020-05-27T08:37:18","date_gmt":"2020-05-27T11:37:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.unlz.edu.ar\/?p=5747"},"modified":"2020-05-27T08:37:18","modified_gmt":"2020-05-27T11:37:18","slug":"los-diez-numeros-que-definen-el-escenario-epidemiologico","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.unlz.edu.ar\/?p=5747","title":{"rendered":"Los diez n\u00fameros que definen el escenario epidemiol\u00f3gico"},"content":{"rendered":"

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_row_inner][vc_column_inner][la_heading title=\u00bbLos diez n\u00fameros que definen el escenario epidemiol\u00f3gico\u00bb title_fz=\u00bbxlg:60px;lg:50px;mb:25px;\u00bb][\/la_heading][la_divider height=\u00bblg:30px;\u00bb][\/vc_column_inner][\/vc_row_inner][la_carousel infinite_loop=\u00bbyes\u00bb autoplay=\u00bbyes\u00bb dots=\u00bbyes\u00bb draggable=\u00bbyes\u00bb touch_move=\u00bbyes\u00bb item_space=\u00bb0″ slides_column=\u00bbxlg:1;lg:1;md:1;sm:1;xs:1;mb:1;\u00bb el_class=\u00bbslick-dots-small\u00bb][vc_single_image image=\u00bb5748″ img_size=\u00bbmedium\u00bb alignment=\u00bbcenter\u00bb][\/la_carousel][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row el_class=\u00bbcolumna-blog\u00bb][vc_column offset=\u00bbvc_col-xs-12″][vc_column_text el_class=\u00bbtexto-justificado\u00bb]<\/p>\n

Cantidad de tests, n\u00famero de reproducci\u00f3n, tiempo de duplicaci\u00f3n de casos, positividad, letalidad, pico, movilidad, nuevos casos, camas de terapia intensiva y mortalidad son diez indicadores claves para saber d\u00f3nde estamos parados.<\/h5>\n

 <\/p>\n

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Cifras, porcentajes, curvas logar\u00edtmicas, crecimiento exponencial, pico, monta\u00f1a. As\u00ed como durante los mundiales de f\u00fatbol nos convertimos en directores t\u00e9cnicos y en tiempos de crisis discutimos como si fu\u00e9ramos especialistas en la negociaci\u00f3n de deudas soberanas, la pandemia nos forz\u00f3 no solo a cuidarnos, sino a asomarnos a vocablos y complejos conceptos t\u00e9cnicos para entender qu\u00e9 est\u00e1 pasando <\/b> y, especialmente, qu\u00e9 nos espera en el futuro pr\u00f3ximo.<\/p>\n

Con frecuencia, estos t\u00e9rminos se sintetizan en cifras que permiten cartografiar la propagaci\u00f3n del virus y sacar conclusiones. Pero, como siempre, la mayor\u00eda de los n\u00fameros (y las palabras) no quieren decir mucho sin un contexto que permita interpretarlos. Estos son los diez \u00edtems que tenemos que tener en cuenta para entender d\u00f3nde estamos parados <\/b> .<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Tests<\/h5>\n

Una de las medidas para seguirle el rastro al virus es identificar qu\u00e9 individuos est\u00e1n infectados con las ya famosas pruebas de PCR. La cantidad de tests fue eje de debate en la Argentina y el mundo. Hubo quienes plantearon que habr\u00eda que testear m\u00e1s masivamente, e incluso a toda la poblaci\u00f3n. Pero la mayor\u00eda de los especialistas argumentaron que ser\u00eda impracticable, porque no hay kits, m\u00e1quinas ni personal suficiente. Hay otra raz\u00f3n que complica la posibilidad del testeo \u00abmasivo\u00bb: el per\u00edodo de ventana que tiene la infecci\u00f3n. La PCR empieza a dar resultados confiables al tercer o cuarto d\u00eda del comienzo de los s\u00edntomas <\/b> . O sea que antes de esa fecha, podr\u00eda arrojar falsos negativos. Esto hizo que mientras la OMS aconsejaba \u00abtestear, testear, testear\u00bb y no bajar de un 10% de positividad (cantidad de resultados positivos sobre pruebas realizadas), muy pronto comenz\u00f3 a discutirse cu\u00e1ntos de estos an\u00e1lisis hay que realizar para obtener una foto fiel de lo que est\u00e1 sucediendo. Y lo cierto es que no hay un n\u00famero fijo.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

<\/div>\n

Ver nota completa<\/a><\/p>\n

Fuente: La Naci\u00f3n
\n<\/em>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][la_divider height=\u00bblg:90px;mb:40px;\u00bb][\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_row_inner][vc_column_inner][la_heading title=\u00bbLos diez n\u00fameros que definen el escenario epidemiol\u00f3gico\u00bb title_fz=\u00bbxlg:60px;lg:50px;mb:25px;\u00bb][\/la_heading][la_divider height=\u00bblg:30px;\u00bb][\/vc_column_inner][\/vc_row_inner][la_carousel infinite_loop=\u00bbyes\u00bb autoplay=\u00bbyes\u00bb dots=\u00bbyes\u00bb draggable=\u00bbyes\u00bb touch_move=\u00bbyes\u00bb item_space=\u00bb0″ slides_column=\u00bbxlg:1;lg:1;md:1;sm:1;xs:1;mb:1;\u00bb el_class=\u00bbslick-dots-small\u00bb][vc_single_image image=\u00bb5748″ img_size=\u00bbmedium\u00bb alignment=\u00bbcenter\u00bb][\/la_carousel][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row el_class=\u00bbcolumna-blog\u00bb][vc_column offset=\u00bbvc_col-xs-12″][vc_column_text el_class=\u00bbtexto-justificado\u00bb] Cantidad de tests, n\u00famero de reproducci\u00f3n, tiempo de duplicaci\u00f3n de casos, positividad, letalidad, pico, movilidad, nuevos casos, camas de terapia intensiva y mortalidad son diez indicadores claves para saber d\u00f3nde estamos parados.   Cifras, porcentajes,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5748,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[110],"tags":[105],"class_list":["post-5747","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-coronavirus","tag-unlz"],"yoast_head":"\nLos diez n\u00fameros que definen el escenario epidemiol\u00f3gico<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Cantidad de tests, n\u00famero de reproducci\u00f3n, tiempo de duplicaci\u00f3n de casos, positividad, letalidad, pico, movilidad, nuevos casos, camas de terapia intensiva y mortalidad son diez indicadores claves para saber d\u00f3nde estamos parados.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, nofollow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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